来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：资本主义：成功、危机与改革第10集第10集》

fantastic indexes that tell us that the probability of us

得到了一项有价值的成果
losing more than 20% of our capital is .005."

即我们资产缩水20%的概率是千分之五"
You couldn't do it.

你不能这样做
Suddenly, with this data, a little bit of information is

突然地拿着这些数据
a really dangerous thing when you put it in front of somebody

对于知道如何进行回归分析人
that knows how to crank through a regression.

这么一丁点信息是非常危险的
It's a terrible thing to blame Bob Shiller,

责难鲍勃·希勒这个预测了危机的人
the person that forecast this crash,

是不对的
to blame him on the other hand, for providing the matches that

要怪只能怪他提出了这些比较
allowed people to burn down the house.

导致人们烧掉了自己的房子
It was a failure of models

这是一个失败的模型
but you can't run the models without the data.

但没有数据不成模型