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the expectation of A is greater than B or C;
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that is, the task of A is the easiest."
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There's the answer.
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So Pepys replied on the sixth of December:
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"You give it in favour of the Expectations of A,
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and this (as you say) by an easy Computation.
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But yet I must not pretend to so much conversation with numbers,
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as presently to comprehend as I ought to doe,
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all the force of that which you are pleased to
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assigne for the reason of it, relating to
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their having or not having the benefit of all their chances."
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So he wasn't ashamed to admit that he didn't really understand