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somebody might change the terms of the bet
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and then he wouldn't know.
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He wanted really to understand.
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He insisted on proof.
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So this is two of the pages from
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Newton's correspondence of the letter that he wrote in response,
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and you can see that Pepys certainly got more than he had bargained for.
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"So to compute this I set down the following progressions of numbers."
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So you can go through all this and you get complicated quotients here,
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and it turns out that A has 31,031 chances
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out of 46,656,
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or 0.6651 chance of winning,