来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：金融市场 第14集 第14集》
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to believe if如果 -
you're wired to believe if something固有的思维定式是 -
if A happened before B, A caused B.如果A在B之前发生 那么A是B的原因 -
B has to be caused by somethingB一定是某件事的结果 -
and A happened first,而A是先发生的 -
before it, so that's what so they assign causality.所以A是原因 人们依此认定因果关系 -
They're also inclined to focus on sort of recent things人们还倾向于参照就近的事物 -
things they see even if you know they're irrelevant.即便你明知道这些事物是不相关的 -
For example, in the psychology literature,举个例子 心理学文献里 -
famous example is有个很出名的例子 -
famous kind of test question is:是个很有名的测试问题 -
a tester will give the person taking the test测试人会给被测人