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In 1969, the U.S. Surgeon General
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had a premature surge of optimism
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in the age of antibiotics and he declared,
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as he put it, "We've turned the page on infectious disease."
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And medical schools and the public health community
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taught that it would be possible to eradicate
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one epidemic disease after another,
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like smallpox or polio as models.
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But our Surgeon General turned out to be spectacularly wrong.
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Today, in 2010, infectious diseases
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are the number one cause of death worldwide.
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It's also clear that it will be impossible