But my guess is, it's reasonable to assume its bell shaped.

不过我猜推测为钟形是有道理的
There's some central tendency to estimate something close to the truth.

人们在估计物品价值时会有以真实价值为中心分布的倾向
If I'd drawn this correctly I'd have its highest point at V.

如果没话错的话在V会取得最大值
I haven't quite drawn it correctly.

画得不大对
It's probably roughly symmetric.

应该是大致对称的
Okay, so now suppose that people's bidding strategy is

好现在假设人们的出价
pretty much what they reported.

和他们报上来的估计值是相同的
People are going to bid roughly their estimate of

人们会出和他们所估计罐子中
the number of coins in the jar.

硬币数恰好相同的价
So suppose people bid Bi roughly equal to Yi.

假设人们出价Bi大致等于Yi
So I know people are going to shade a little bit,

我知道人们会稍稍减少一点点
but let's ignore that for now.

但现在就忽略它吧