来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：博弈论 第24集 第24集》

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  That would be your best estimate.
  这就是你的最佳估值
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  But suppose I then told you that your neighbor,
  但假如我告诉你说你的邻座
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  let's go back to Ashley again.
  我们回到阿什莉这里
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  So Ashley's estimate was, let's say,
  阿什莉的估值是 比如说
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  it was 150--it wasn't, but let's say it was 150.
  是150 虽然不是150 但就说是150吧
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  And suppose I went to her neighbor and asked her neighbor.
  假设我去找她的邻座 然后问她的邻座
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  And her neighbor said: actually, I think there's only 130 in there.
  然后她的邻座说 实际上 我觉得里面其实只有130而已
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  So suppose Ashley now knows that she did a little test,
  假设阿什莉做了一个测试
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  she thinks there's 150.
  她认为里面有150
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  But she now knows that her neighbor has done a similar test
  但她现在知道她的邻座也做了一个类似的测试
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  and he thinks there's only 130.
  而她觉得只有130而已
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  Now what should be Ashley's estimate of the number of coins in the jar?
  那阿什莉应该估计罐子里有多少硬币呢