来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：金融市场 第8集 第8集》
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Many people chose sculptress because they thought,许多人选择了雕刻家 因为他们觉得 -
well if she's a sensitive, artistic woman如果她既感性又有艺术感 -
maybe she's a sculptress.也许她会是雕刻家吧 -
But that is a terrible mistake because we should know that但这是严重错误 我们都很清楚 -
sculptresses are very rare;雕刻家是很罕见的职业 -
very few people have the job of a sculptress or sculptor,只有很少人会是雕刻家 -
so it's a mistake.所以这是错的 -
What it means is that people will--what it means is--这个例子想说明人们... -
--that we sometimes exaggerate in our imagination some rare event会夸大一些罕见事件的概率 -
and it colors out thinking.并会影响人们的看法 -
For example,比如 -
the stock market crash of 1929 is1929年股市崩盘