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because it happened so very often on the brinks of wars,
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when that's the issue that determines
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what people will do and how they react.
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If they don't think that taking a certain action--I'm sorry,
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if they don't think the war is coming anyway,
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they may very well decide to refrain from an action
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that might provoke a war.
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If, on the other hand,
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they think war is coming, they feel that
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it's too dangerous not to make our capacity
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to win the war more likely and so they may well take a step
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which makes the war more likely,