来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：博弈论 第8集 第8集》

• 
  
  We were pretty quickly able to figure out what was going on.
  我们能够快速猜到结果是什么
• 
  
  And the key here is what?
  那关键的问题是什么呢
• 
  
  Without writing it necessarily, the key here is:
  我就不写出来了 关键是
• 
  
  be systematic when you're guessing.
  要进行有体系地猜测
• 
  
  Make sure you've looked everywhere.
  要确保你把该考虑的都考虑到了
• 
  
  And second, be systematically careful when you're checking.
  第二点是检验的时候也要系统而认真
• 
  
  The big error is to ignore certain types of deviation.
  最常见的错误就是忽略了某些情况
• 
  
  In this particular model, people very quickly realized that
  在这个模型中 人们很快就能考虑到
• 
  
  one possible deviation is for someone else to enter.
  有新候选人加入是一种变动
• 
  
  But perhaps they're a little bit less good at spotting
  不过可能他们就不太容易考虑到
• 
  
  that another possible type of deviation is for somebody to drop out.
  有候选人退出也是一种变动啊
• 
  
  You want to look at all possible types of deviation.
  你必须要把所有可能的变动都考虑在内