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The forward--this is an arbitrage relationship that holds very well
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in the forward market for foreign exchange.
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The forward exchange rate--that's yen per dollar, in the case,
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if we're talking about Japan and U.S.--
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equals the spot exchange rate
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that's in yen per dollar times one plus the yen interest rate--
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that's for three months
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if it's a three-month horizon--
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times one plus dollar interest rate.
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And that relation holds very well.
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If it didn't hold,
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I could make money quickly without risk and that shouldn't happen.