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at time t plus k,
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discounted by a discount factor r.
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That's just the present value formula
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where I've substituted an expectation for the future dividend.
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That's the efficient markets theory in this incarnation.
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There are other ways to envision the efficient markets--
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what it means--but let's consider this simple story.
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What this means then is that the price
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is a forecast of future dividends to be paid on the stock.
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This would be--of the present value of
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future dividends to be paid on the stock--
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and this means then that price, relative to dividend,