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It doesn't tend to go back anywhere,
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but here we have a center.
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What do I call that?
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I'll call it--x-bar is this point here, not necessarily 0.
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It says that Xt-Xbar== Xbar + ρ(Xt-1 - Xbar)+ et.
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ρ Lies between minus one and positive one; usually it's positive.
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You see that? So ρ--the smaller ρ is,
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the tighter the elastic cord is.
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It gets pulled back by 1- ρ of the way
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back to the x-bar in every time period.
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But then there's new noise that adds onto it.
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If there were no new noise,