来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：博弈论 第9集 第9集》

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  Now notice that these two effects go in opposite directions, is that right?
  请注意这是两种完全相反的结果 是吧
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  One of them tends to argue that Q would go up, that's the direct effect
  直接影响认为Q会增大
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  and the other one is more subtle,
  另一个影响比较严密
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  it says we now think about not just how my play has improved,
  它不仅考虑了自身水平的提高
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  but also how the other person's going
  也考虑到了别人在得知
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  to respond to knowing that my play has improved,
  对手水平提高后是如何应对的
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  that's the more subtle effect and that's going to push Q down.
  这个更严密的影响认为Q会减小
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  That's going to make it less likely,
  即防守左侧的概率会减小
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  that's an argument against leaning to the left.
  这和多防守反手方向是完全相反的说法
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  So imagine you're going to be Serena's coach,
  假设你们就是塞丽娜的教练
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  which of these effects do you think is going to win,
  你觉得哪种影响占了上风
• 
  
  let's have a poll.
  我们来个投票表决吧