来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：博弈论 第23集 第23集》

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  that those inferences "make sense."
  这些判断是合情合理的
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  By make sense I mean that they're consistent with
  合情合理的意思是说它们和
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  what actually is happening in equilibrium.
  均衡里的实际情况是一致的
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  So before we get too nerdy about that
  我们继续讨论之前
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  let's just think why that's a sensible thing to require.
  先来想想为什么这个是很重要的呢
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  Suppose, in fact, suppose the world was like this.
  假设现实情况变成这样的了
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  All good workers got MBA's, all bad workers did not get MBA's,
  好雇员都有MBA 差雇员都没有
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  and employers thought that the people who got MBA's
  但是雇主们确认为有MBA的
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  were half good and half bad.
  一半是好雇员一半是差雇员
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  That just doesn't sound right, right?
  这个判断不是很正确 是吧
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  If in fact it's the case,
  实际情况不是这样的
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  that it's the good workers who are getting MBA's
  实际上只有好雇员才能拿到MBA