it's the last kick in the World Cup,

而且那是世界杯上一个制胜球
how many of you, show of hands,

请你们举手
how many of you would shoot to the left?

有多少人选择从左路射门
How many of you would shoot to the middle?

有多少人选择中路
How many of you would shoot to the right?

又有多少人选择右路
We've got kind of an even split there, pretty much an even split.

看来大家的意见分布得比较平均
We're going to assume these are the correct numbers and

我们假设这些数据都是准确无误的
we're going to see if that even split is really a good idea or not.

我们来分析一下意见如此分布的原因
So how should we go about thinking about this?

我们从何下手呢
What I suggest we do is we do what we did last time

我建议用上次的方法
and we start to draw a picture to figure out what my expected payoff is,

作图来表示在我对门将的策略
depending on what I believe the goalie is going to do.

存在某种信念下我的预期收益