来自《耶鲁大学开放课程：金融市场 第7集 第7集》
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I predict that the low today will be +150o.预计今天的最低气温将为150度 -
You would eventually start concluding你立马就能得出 -
that this weather forecaster can't be trusted这气象预报不可信的结论 -
because we never get to those temperatures.因为这种气温我们从来都没有碰到过 -
That's sort of what the stock market is doing;这和股票市场的行为有点相似 -
it's fluctuating much more than the thing that's forecasted.实际情况总要比预计的波动大很多 -
You've got to be careful; I ended up with so many critics.你们得格外注意 我受到了许多批判 -
There are lots of issues here that--some people said,这里有许多问题 有人 -
well people don't know where the red line was last period.不清楚红线所指的上一时期是什么时候 -
And other people said,也有人说 -
well you just are showing one reality for the realization你不过是演示了一种现实情况 -
--you're showing你所演示的...