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is best thought of as the Federal Reserve tightening money,
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which represents some kind of leftward movement of the LM curve--
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that output declines and interest rates rise
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and that that's the proximate shock
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that is bringing about the recession.
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That it turns out to be a matter of semantic ambiguity--
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how to think about a financial crisis recession
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in the context of a simple macroeconomic model.
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Everybody agrees on the movement of three variables in such a recession.
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Output goes down; q goes down;
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and short-term interest rates go down.
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One instinct, which is probably not the first instinct