-
Second, they almost certainly will judge that
-
the volatility associated with the assets they hold
-
and the degree of uncertainty about their portfolios
-
is today very substantially greater,
-
not just than they thought it was nine months ago,
-
but than it objectively was nine months ago.
-
Third, the magnitude of tail risk of existential events,
-
which will cause the solvency of their institution
-
to come into fundamental doubt, has surely increased as well.
-
I don't think we have a sound basis for estimating
-
how much prudent institutions will reduce their leverage.
-
The leverage choices they may make will, of course,