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what do you predict the market rate of interest will be in year 2,
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between year 2 and year 3?
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Student: The forward rate, it would be 1 plus i_2^.
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Okay, and i_2 happens to be right here, 5 percent. Okay, so that's the forward.
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So 5 percent you'd predict.
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Okay, so let me refine that a little bit.
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If the world were one of total certainty,
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so everybody trading today had a perfect forecast of what was going to happen
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in the future, then of course, the forward rates in the market today
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would have to be exactly equal to the forward interest rate.
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Because suppose that you knew for sure the interest rate was
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going to be 4 percent in year 2.