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Why not?
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Why do we overestimate their happiness?
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And the technical term for this, by the way,
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is "Affective forecasting."
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Again, this is Dan Gilbert's work
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and the idea is we are bad at affective forecasting.
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That is, we are bad at predicting how happy or sad
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we will be in the future based on what's happening to us.
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Why? Well, a couple of reasons.
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One thing is there's often a failure
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to appreciate the day-to-day irrelevance of certain events.
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So prior to the election--the election's happening tomorrow